Analyzing the Future Spatial Distribution of Urban Poverty in Tabriz by Identifying Key Driving Factors

Document Type : Research Article (Applied - Development)

Author

Assistant Professor, Department of Architecture and Urban Planning, Ilk.C., Islamic Azad University, Ilkhchi, Iran.

10.22103/JUSG.2026.2189

Abstract

Introduction: Urban poverty, as one of the most complex challenges of contemporary urban systems, especially in developing metropolises of Iran, requires forward-looking and strategic analysis. This research aims to assess the future of urban poverty in Tabriz based on the analysis of key factors and structural trends.
Data and Method: This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of data collection method. The research framework is futures research and key factor analysis. The required data was collected through library and field studies and questionnaires using the Delphi method.Mic Mac software was used to analyze the data and identify key factors.
Results: Governance institutional factors with a score of 401 have a greater impact on the future spatial distribution of urban poverty in Tabriz. In contrast, environmental factors with a score of 238 show the least impact. Spatial physical factors with a score of 377 have also experienced the highest level of impact.distribution of resources, the city will be exposed to deepening spatial inequalities.
Conclusion: The results of the research show that reducing urban poverty in Tabriz requires reforming institutional structures, improving urban governance, strengthening spatial justice in the distribution of services and opportunities, and increasing social resilience in underserved neighborhoods. Strategic planning based on foresight can prevent the spread of urban poverty by identifying effective intervention points and pave the way for sustainable urban development in Tabriz.

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 23 September 2026
  • Receive Date: 08 October 2025
  • Revise Date: 23 February 2026
  • Accept Date: 03 March 2026