A Sociological Meta-Analysis of Urban Green Infrastructure Towards the Future Development of Tehran Metropolis

Document Type : Research Article (Applied - Development)

Authors

1 Ph.D. in Geography and Urban Planning, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran

2 Associate Professor of Sociology, Ministry of Education, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran

10.22103/jusg.2026.2180

Abstract

Introduction: The rapid expansion of urbanization and persistent socio-spatial inequalities have heightened the need for a sociological perspective in planning urban green infrastructure. Sociology provides critical insights into the complex interactions between green spaces and societal dynamics, informing sustainable urban development strategies.

Data and Method: This study presents a sociological meta-analysis of urban green infrastructure in Tehran’s prospective development. Adopting a systematic-structural meta-synthesis approach, the research is purposive and descriptive-analytical, integrating bibliometric and Delphi techniques. Initially, 1,109 articles (2001–2024) from the Scopus database were screened using PRISMA guidelines and ASReview software in Python, yielding 436 articles for bibliometric analysis. Subsequently, 20 key indicators were assessed via the MICMAC technique, and future scenarios were developed using Scenario Wizard software. The statistical sample included 70 urban studies experts selected through snowball sampling.

Results: Findings show that prior research has primarily emphasized governance, policymaking, and social justice, while religious, spiritual, and cultural applications, tourism potential, and perceptual aspects remain underexplored. Structural analysis identified digital technology and environmental justice as the most influential factors, whereas social participation and mental health exhibited the lowest influence. Scenario analysis suggests that without coordination among these drivers, green infrastructure development may face stagnation or inconsistency. The desirable scenario highlights the synergistic integration of technology, justice, and religious-social participation to achieve sustainable transformation.

Conclusion: The future development of urban green infrastructure in Tehran requires a comprehensive, interactive approach that simultaneously incorporates technological innovation, social justice principles, and active public participation to ensure sustainable urban transformation.

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