Urban Resilience Assessment of Region 5 in the Metropolitan City of Tabriz

Document Type : Research Article (Applied - Development)

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran.

2 PhD Student of Geography and Urban Planning, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran.

10.22103/jusg.2025.2152

Abstract

Introduction: Metropolitan cities in the Global South are highly vulnerable to natural hazards and disasters and have low resilience. The city of Tabriz, as a metropolitan area, has become increasingly vulnerable to urban hazards and disasters due to rapid urban growth, population increase, a high rate of migration, land-use changes, and informal settlements. Accordingly, this study assessed urban resilience in region 5 of the metropolitan city of Tabriz, Iran.
Data and Method: This study was conducted using a descriptive-analytical methodology and was applied in nature. The required data were collected through library studies and field surveys (questionnaires). The study population consisted of citizens from region 5 of the metropolitan city of Tabriz, numbered 126,124 persons based on the 2016 census. The sample size was estimated to be 342 persons using structural equation modeling (SEM) and the Gamma-exponential method. Data were analyzed via LISREL, SPSS, and ArcGIS.
Results: The findings indicated that, in terms of resilience in region 5 of the metropolitan city of Tabriz, the latent social indicator ranked highest with a beta coefficient of 0.384 (33.83%), followed by physical-infrastructural, economic, and institutional-management latent indicators with beta coefficients of 0.305 (26.87%), 0.267 (23.52%), and 0.179 (15.77%), respectively. The neighborhoods of Barinj, Kooshan, Baharan, Nasr, Kooy-e Ostandary, Azad University, Marzdaran, and Kooy-e Sepehr had very high resilience (5). Following that, neighborhoods such as Shahrak Sanati, Fereshteh, and Elahiyeh had high resilience (4). Vali-e Amr,  Roshdiyeh, and Bagmisheh Jadid had moderate resilience (3), while Shahrak, Karkaj, Namayeshgah, and Shahrak-e Mosalla had low (2) and very low (1) resilience.
Conclusion: This study revealed that the resilience of region 5 in Tabriz is influenced by social, physical-infrastructural, economic, and institutional-management factors. Strengthening social indicators and improving physical-infrastructural status in vulnerable neighborhoods such as Karkaj and Shahrak are particularly crucial. To enhance resilience, it is recommended to focus on increasing social participation, reinforcing infrastructure, and improving management coordination.

Keywords

References

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History

  • Receive Date: 05 August 2024
  • Revise Date: 09 December 2024
  • Accept Date: 12 March 2025

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